Labour on track to win 56-strong landslide at the election, poll finds

Labour is on track to win a 56-strong landslide at the election, poll finds as Andy Burnham boasts that the party is ‘odds on’ to beat the Tories

  • Savanta poll suggests Labour is on track for a massive 56 majority at the election
  • Such as result would be a huge turnaround from 2019 when Tories had landslide
  • Andy Burnham boasted that Labour is now odds-on to take power in 2024 poll 

Labour is on track to win a 56-strong majority at an election, a shock poll showed today.

Research by Savanta gave Keir Starmer a boost as he kicked off the annual conference in Liverpool, putting the party on 45 per cent support to just 33 per cent for the Tories.

The analysis for the LabourList website used a statistical technique known as MRP to overlay the results on constituencies – and found Sir Keir would have 353 MPs compared to the Conservatives’ 211.

That would be a staggering turnaround from the last election in 2019, when Boris Johnson secured an historic 80 majority. 

Mr Johnson and former Transport Secretary Grant Shapps would be among the senior figures to lose their seats, according to the estimates – although they will be regarded as unlikely by many Westminster watchers and the survey was conducted  before the Emergency Budget.

Manchester mayor Andy Burnham underlined the growing sense of confidence by boasting that Labour is now ‘odds-on’ to win power at the election, which is expected in 2024. 

Research by Savanta gave Keir Starmer a boost as he kicked off the annual conference in Liverpool, putting the party on 45 per cent support to just 33 per cent for the Tories

Sir Keir is still struggling to unite his party and show Labour has a clear vision of how it wants to run the country

‘Keir Starmer’s put us in a position where we can win the next election,’ he told Sky News’ Ridge on Sunday.

‘It’s the first conference since we last left government, where I think it’s odds on that there could be a Labour government within one or two years.’

However, Sir Keir is still struggling to unite his party and show Labour has a clear vision of how it wants to run the country.

The Labour leader this morning pledged to reinstate the 45p top rate of income tax paid by 600,000 of Britain’s richest people after it was axed by the Chancellor on Friday.

But he said he would keep an additional  cut to the basic rate of income tax by a penny in the pound to 19p.

‘I’ve long made the argument that we should reduce the tax burden on working people,’ the party leader told the BBC’s Laura Kuenssberg.

The policy put him at odds with Mr Burnham. The mayor of Greater Manchester used a TV interview to suggest that the party should campaign ahead of the next election to reverse all the Tory tax cuts.

‘I don’t think it is the most targeted way of using the resources that we’ve got at this moment in time,’ he told Sky’s Sophy Ridge on Sunday.

‘I would use it though to support people in different ways, so I’m not saying we wouldn’t put money in people’s pockets but if you keep that money, you are then able to target it to those who most need it because obviously if you cut the 20p rate, it benefits … it’s not as targeted a measure as doing other things such as supporting people who are at real risk and those are people on Universal Credit…… That’s my position, I don’t think it was a time for tax cuts. I think this is a time to support people through a crisis.’

Sir Keir’s pledges came after he had accusing the Tories of ‘taking the p***’ out of voters with their massive tax-cutting mini-Budget.

:: Savanta surveyed 6,226 British adults online on September 15 and 16 

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